There is a monumental showdown brewing for May 5th 2012. Two of boxing’s brightest stars are on the verge of signing what would be the biggest MEGA-FIGHT in recent boxing history. Think “Rumble in the Jungle” or “Thrilla in Manila” and multiply x 100! In one corner we have Manny Pacquiao, multiple times world champion and consensus pound for pound best boxer alive. In the other corner, we have boxing’s bad boy, multiple time world champion and arguably the only man alive who can credibly claim to be the best alive, Floyd Mayweather. The winner will be crowned this generation’s top fighter. The loser? #2 with a bad taste in their mouth. This is where the legends are made.

This is the fight the world has been waiting to see. Most analysts and fight fans would place their bets on “Money” Mayweather for the win, and with good reason. He is arguably the best boxer of his generation. Every fight he runs his mouth, makes 90% of boxing fans hate him, and then wins them back with a dominating performance where he backs up his talk. Only a fool would bet against him.

I hate to say it, but I am that fool. I will go one step further and tell you that Mayweather doesn’t stand a chance against Manny Pacquiao. Now most of you are probably thinking, “Repo, you’re crazy”, but here are my top 5 reasons to believe Floyd loses the fight May 5th:

5.) “Pacman” won’t take a sucker-punch from “Money”

Some might argue that there is no “love lost” in the sport of the “Sweet Science”. No fight made that more evident than Mayweather’s last fight versus Victor Ortiz. Ortiz hugged Floyd more than a “Nana” hugs the grand-kids on holidays. The fight went a little something like this: punch-hug, punch-multiple hugs, punch-nibble on the ear. I can kind of understand why Mayweather got mad and sucker punched Ortiz for the knockout. Simply too Bro-mantic of a fight. I was half expecting Ortiz to grab the mic between rounds and “pop the question”. Don’t expect Pacman to hug it out with Mayweather. Lack of hugs = lack of opportunity for Floyd to land a vicious sucker punch for the win.

4.) This isn’t a domestic abuse case!

If there are two things Floyd Mayweather can beat, they are a spousal abuse case and his wife. Hiyoooooooooooooo! “But Repo”, you might say, “Floyd is going to the joint for this racking up the missus. To which I must reply “What is this, the 10th time he’s gotten arrested for it?” I think it is safe to say that Manny hits harder than Floyd’s old lady, negating that competitive advantage. This also brings us to number 3…

3.) Mayweather is looking a some jail time pretty soon after this fight.

You would think that would encourage Floyd to box the bout of his life, but, based on his persona, Mayweather is only in it for the payout. Fight fans expecting to to see the two best pound for pound boxers going hard in the middle of the ring better look elsewhere. We predict Floyd running around for 12 rounds and losing a close decision. Why? Well, brothers nicknamed “Pretty Boy” don’t do to well in the joint, from what I hear. If Manny wears that a%# out in May? Someone named “Bubba” very well might be wearing it out in June and July.

2.) All the pressure is on “Money”

When you run around on every 24/7 episode dissing opponent after opponent, you have to half-expect your “comeuppance” somewhere down the line. Fear it, actually, in that dark dank place buried deep in your psyche. When cornered, Floyd is like a coiled snake ready to attack, so a verbal altercation with Manny would be enough to get him fired up (and over the fear).

Here’s the thing, though, I don’t think that will happen. Manny Pacquiao is just too damn nice. And, well, out of it. Think back on some of his interviews. They usually go a little something like this:

Larry Merchant: Manny you had a wonderful fight, how can you explain the outcome?

Manny: I put the laundry in the washer, added the fabric softener, and this is how we got to this point.

Larry Merchant: Fight fans across the world are salivating at the thought of you and Floyd Mayweather fighting this May. What are your thoughts?

Manny: Yes, yes, my fans in Philippines are celebrating. You like music? Check my CD. I sound like Celine Dion in Titanic. “Every night in my dreams
I see you, I feel you
That is how I know you go on”…

Larry Merchant: Manny what the hell are you talking about? Floyd is a rude,crude, dude and he can beat you senseless!

Manny: Milk does a body good! Vote Manny in 2016! I like turtles!

How in the blue blazes can Floyd Mayweather combat that? Floyd will do his talking on 24/7 while Manny won’t be able to say anything that makes sense, and thus he will have no choice but to best Floyd in the ring.

1) All joking aside, Floyd Mayweather hasn’t fought anyone as good as Pacquiao in a looooooooong time

Cruise control is a wonderful feature for long trips in a car. Cruise control in a long boxing career? Not so much. Listen, Floyd Mayweather is a great fighter, but even his biggest fans have to admit that he has been phoning it in for the better part of the last 5 years. Look at the list of “top boxers” he has faced: an overrated Ricky Hatton, and ancient Oscar De La Hoya, a just plain old and happy some one pay him “Sugar” Shane Mosely, and a not-ready-for-prime time Victor Ortiz. Each carried some “name” value, but each also carefully selected to help Mayweather protect his claim as the best in the world. In the meantime, actual threats to beat him like Pacquiao and Miguel Cotto were kept away, dream fight stifled by hard-nosed negotiating never meant to result in an actual signing. Well, there is nowhere to run now. Mayweather’s mouth may have finally dragged him into a fight that really doesn’t want. If it does happen, though, it will be one for the ages!