Repos 2012 Fantasy Picks – Top Five Quarterbacks
#1. Aaron Rodgers – (over 4,600 yards, 45 touchdowns, 122.5 passer rating in 2011)- What more does this guy have to do to earn the Repoman’s trust as the top fantasy football quarterback out there? Absolutely nothing. As last season’s numbers can attest, Rodgers is coming into his prime and is the candidate most likely to throw for 50 tds and 5000 yards in 2012. Why? With a healthy Greg Jennings, a blossoming Jordy Nelson, and one of the best tight ends in the NFL in Jermichael Finley, Rodgers has more weapons on hand than the Latin Kings at the Puerto Rican Pride Parade in New York (estoy en fuego!) Critics will point to the fact that the Packers can’t run the ball as a reason to doubt him. Newsflash: they haven’t run the ball the last two season’s and Rodgers has been a beast.
Pick him: 1st round pick in a 12 team league, and might end up going #1 overall more often than he should. Still, if you have a shot at the “Jewish Joe Montana”, take him and let the chips fall where they may.
#2. Drew Brees – (over 5400 yards, 46 touchdows, 110.6 passer rating in 2011) – You might be wondering why the $40 million dollar man isn’t the top overall fantasy quarterback option out there. It’s a fair question, considering Brees went for more than 5000 yards last season, but being number #2 is no slap in the face. To be honest, Brees is still a top flight fantasy option, but his numbers will likely take a dip with someone other than Sean Payton calling the shots. A better run/pass mix will help the “holy rollers” win a few more games, but it’ll do nothing for his stats. Still, he is definitely a top flight signal caller that should be good for 25+ points every week regardless of your league format.
Pick him: Late 2nd round in a 12 team league. Ideal choice someone with a later pick in that round as they can snake back and pick up a solid RB choice in round 3. Still, Brees is another guy who will likely go higher than he should in many drafts.
#3. Jay Cutler (2300 yards, 13 touchdowns, 85.7 passer rating in 2011) – Here is where most readers will check out, thinking “Repoman, you crazy”. Jay Cutler,a top 3 quarterback for the 2012 season? Cutler was having a great run in 2011 in Mike Martz’s seriously outdated offense, pretty much singlehandedly winning games in spite of his “blocking averse” offensive line. Exit Mike Martz and enter Mike Tice, who previously helmed a big time offense that made Dante Culpepper actually look like a frontline NFL starter. Joining Cutler in Chicago is old buddy (and big time WR) Brandon Marshall, whose 81 catches and 1200 yards receiving dwarfs anyone else on the roster. Add a healthy Matt Forte, and big time WR prospect in Alshon Jeffery, a dangerous 4th and 5th option in Earl Bennett and Devin Hester (yes, Devin Hester) and the Cutler led Bears should be tearing up opposing secondaries all season.
Pick him: Taking Cutler as early as the 6th round is advised in all formats. Cutler will be THE surprise QB this year, and is sure to put up monster numbers. Sexier names will go before him, though, so he will likely be as late as round 8.
#4. Mike Vick (3300 Yards, 18 Touchdowns, and 84.9 Rating in 2011) – Say hello to the second surprise in the Repos Top Five list for 2012. The Eagles “Dream Team” closed the season strong, nearly making the playoffs after a horrible start. Mike Vick provides the rare speed element that makes arguably more dangerous with his legs than his arm, and an improved defense will allow Philadelphia to dictate the offensive pace instead of constantly playing from behind. LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, and Jeremy Maclin are a threat to score every time they touch the ball. Throw in steady Brent Celek, an improved offensive line, and head coach “Angry” Andy Reid looking for redemption, and Vick could put up similar numbers to his break out 2010 season. The NFC East could be in for a long season.
Pick him: Although Mike Vick could fly off the boards as early as round four in keeper leagues, we would recommend targeting him around rounds 6 to 7. Getting him lower than that will prove to be an excellent value, and he will likely be there as late as round 9.
#5. Tom Brady (5200 Yards, 39 Touchdowns, 105.6 Rating in 2011) – The Tom Brady Hall of Fame Tour continues in 2012, and the legend did not skip a beat last season. With a Gronk, Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker, and newcomer Brandon Lloyd (900 yards, 5 Touchdowns last year), the Patriots have one of the most talented corp of pass catchers in Brady’s illustrious career. Much like Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady does not need a running game to be successful; all he does is win. A lot.
Why isn’t he ranked higher? Well, Brady will be 35 this year, and, while still elite, showed some kinks in his armor with the Superbowl loss to the Giants. Maybe it’s an aberration. Or, more likely, Father Time is starting to catch up to Brady.
Pick him: Brady will likely be gone, based on previous reputation, by the 4th round in nearly every draft. That is too high, in our consideration, and we think he should go around the same time as Vick and Cutler. If you see him available in round 6, consider yourself lucky, and drink a shot to your good fortune. He will not make it past round 6.
Rounding out our top 10: Matthew Stafford, Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Cam Newton, Philip Rivers